THE INDEPENDENT QUANTITATIVE RESEARCH FIRM
AL Banyan Tree offers comprehensive mathematical modeling of commodity markets. We combine advanced econometric techniques, dynamic simulation models, copula-based analytics, machine learning and our propietary AI engine to achieve clarity in volatile markets. We turn complex data into strategic information that improves forecasts, identifies hidden risks, and helps traders, investors, and manufacturers make informed decisions.
At Al Banyan Tree we |
OUR LATEST RESEARCHES aND insights
Dive into sharp insights and the latest trends shaping global commodity markets. Using advanced analytics and innovative risk models, we deliver timely, data-driven content to help you anticipate changes and navigate market challenges with confidence.
Rebar Market Analysis:
China, Southeast Asia, and MENA
China, Southeast Asia, and MENA
China Rebar Market:
Demand and Supply Overview
Demand and Supply Overview
Rebar, a foundational construction steel product, faces a challenging environment marked by oversupply in China, variable demand in developing regions, and intensifying competition. This analysis explores market dynamics and price trends in China, Southeast Asia (SEA), and the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), highlighting key sector developments.
China's rebar market faces weak construction demand and structural challenges, with supply marked by persistent overcapacity and strong producer competition.
Chinese rebar exports have increased amid weak domestic demand and low margins, though export growth is constrained by foreign quality requirements and limited profit potential.
Rebar prices in China have dropped to near break-even levels, resulting in razor-thin margins for producers and prompting many to consider output reductions to avoid persistent losses.
Steady construction growth is driving rebar demand in Southeast Asia, but stable prices and high costs keep producer margins tight despite stronger local supply.
China Rebar Market:
Prices and Margins Overview
Prices and Margins Overview
Rebar Markets & Supply Chain
Rebar Markets & Supply Chain
China Rebar Market:
Export Trends Overview
Export Trends Overview
Key Commodities WE COVER AND OUR KEY SERVICES
Our expertise covers major commodity markets including agribusiness, coal, metals, and petrochemicals. We deliver deep insights and analytics to help you navigate the complexities and dynamics of these essential global markets.
Dynamic hedging strategies that safeguard your margins against market volatility, using advanced analytics to balance risk and reward.
Ferrous metal
Petrochemical
Сoal
Grain
CFF that integrates market volatility scenarios, helping you predict liquidity needs and plan confidently for the future
Ensure your risk management activities align with IFRS: minimizing P&L volatility and administrative burden
Technology and analytics – modernizing your treasury operations for agility, efficiency, and better risk control
Tailored market research that delivers actionable insights – exactly when and where you need clarity in the commodity landscape
Get precise FV valuations of forwards, options and structured products using cutting-edge quantitative models
solutions
Our solutions empower companies to navigate volatile markets confidently. Combining forecasting, optimisation, and real-time intelligence,
we help maximize profits and ensure sustainable growth.
we help maximize profits and ensure sustainable growth.
Volatile markets, supply disruptions, and geopolitical uncertainty are no longer rare — they’re the new normal. That’s why our Risk Assessment & Strategic Optimisation solution is built around RiskView 360 — a dynamic, AI-powered system that allows you to identify, quantify, and manage risk across the full operational landscape.
Our platform helps executives, strategists, and trading teams:
Our platform helps executives, strategists, and trading teams:
- Monitor key exposures in real time — market risk, geopolitical shifts, logistics bottlenecks
- Model complex scenarios — stress-testing business plans against volatile or extreme assumptions
- Quantify trade-offs — using advanced tools like Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR), Monte Carlo simulation, and volatility-adjusted optimization
- Balance resilience with returns — by aligning operational decisions with strategic risk appetite
- Fully integrable with your internal datasets and external data feeds
- Scenario dashboards that visualize downside exposure vs upside potential
- Custom alerts for risk breaches, structural shifts, or adverse indicators
View all news
Risk Assessment & Strategic Optimisation
Harness the power of advanced analytics and AI to master commodity risk
AI Insight Engine (Forecasting & Scenario Modeling)
In today’s fast-moving environment, reacting is no longer enough. The AI Insight Engine helps organizations make truly informed decisions — not just based on what’s already happened, but on what’s likely to come next. By combining machine learning, natural language processing (NLP), and custom scenario engines, we offer a system that does more than analyze — it explains, predicts, and supports your strategic thinking.
Our engine ingests and processes:
With the AI Insight Engine, companies don’t just keep up. They see around corners.
Our engine ingests and processes:
- Internal data: Financials, procurement, logistics, operations
- External inputs: Commodity prices, macro trends, regulatory changes, news
- Unstructured intelligence: Analyst reports, social sentiment, geopolitical signals
- Real-time insights & anomaly detection — alerts you to risks and deviations as they form
- Natural language summarization — turns raw data into human-readable briefings
- Custom scenario modeling — lets you test assumptions and explore alternative futures
- Data harmonization — connects silos across departments and geographies
With the AI Insight Engine, companies don’t just keep up. They see around corners.
M&A & Tokenization
End-to-End
M&A Execution
M&A Execution
We provide full-cycle support for mergers, acquisitions, and divestitures — from deal sourcing and commercial due diligence to legal structuring and integration. Our process is driven by data, industry insight, and a focus on strategic fit.
Compliant Tokenization
of Real Assets
of Real Assets
We structure and launch digital investment instruments backed by real assets — such as infrastructure, energy, or real estate — via UAE-based SPVs. This approach ensures full regulatory clarity and enables secure participation by global investors.
Flexible & Investor-Aligned
Deal Models
Deal Models
Each transaction is tailored to the project’s financial goals and governance needs — including equity, convertible instruments, revenue-sharing tokens, or hybrid structures. Liquidity, transparency, and investor protection are at the core of each model.
The advantage
Commodity Market Expertise
Deep expertise in Middle Eastern and Southeast Asian commodity markets, delivering tailored insights and strategic foresight.
Advanced Quantitative Analytics
Cutting-edge analytics powered by VECM, DCC-GARCH, VaR, Monte Carlo simulations, Copulas, and more for precision-driven risk and pricing strategies.
Experienced Global Team
17 seasoned professionals, including a former bank vice president, CFA/FRM holders, math PhDs and PRMIA finalists, offer unparalleled expertise in cross-border commodities.
Contacts and Location
Hong Kong HQ
AU PUI WAN STREET, FOTAN, NT, HONG KONG
Asya Malkiel
Senior Manager, Commodity research practice
asya.malkiel@albanyantree.com
asya.malkiel@albanyantree.com
UAE, Dubai (DIFC)
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